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The only thing "consistent" about LiIon prices is their relentless decrease. If you think battery technology is going to hit some plateau in the short run I think you need to seriously re-evaluate that assumption. The path we are taking is exactly the technological progress that you would expect to see and in fact is happening much faster than anyone expected 10 years ago.

The article was obviously part satire and baiting this kind of response but I'd encourage you to walk into a Tesla showroom and look at the marvelous simplicity of the vehicle construction and components. It certainly will revolutionize how cars are made and there's no question reliability and economics will eventually trounce ICE, and again a lot sooner than anyone would have expected.

Tesla has capitalized on the zeitgeist with this, and say what you want about Elon, but that's all irrelevant. Say what you want about the environmental externalities, but ultimately when it comes to mainstream adoption they are irrelevant as well. The economic argument is that cars will be safer, faster, more reliable, and cheaper to operate, in the long run, without an ICE in them.

Ultimately it's a good thing that this will play out over 50 years, since there's a hell of a lot of infrastructure that needs to be built and even more which will become obsolete.



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