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From a Defense perspective, it's acceptable if multiple ODC fails and you have to re-launch another one. This is why these are being treated as part of a mesh. These aren't supposed to be a commercial DC and are intended to be a mesh of multiple racks in orbit.

The fact that the US, China, Russia, and India have already deployed ASATs means a Kessler effect if a question of when and not if.



The Russians put the first ASats up in the '70s. Their existence doesn't require use.


The difference is India and China had an orbital near-miss in 2024 [0] and both India and China now field ASATs.

It's a matter of time before Japan, SK, Iran, Israel, UAE, KSA, etc build similar capabilities.

[0] - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-09-22/india-pla...




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